by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Dec 23, 2024 | Risk Report
The first thing they teach you at economist school is that you can either predict where an indicator is going, or you can predict when it will change, but you cannot do both and still be right. As we are deep into the season of predictions there are plenty of examples...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Aug 26, 2024 | Risk Report
There used to be some correlations we could rely on; when you didn’t bring your umbrella it rains, they announce a new smartphone the week after you bought the latest one, and when the dollar is up, gold and oil are down. So far in 2024, the gold price has gained more...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Jun 10, 2024 | Risk Report
The Risk Report is always excited to dive into news details that validate what it already believes to be true. And if it can be combined with topical lyrics from Queen Bey, it is even better. So, remember the yield curve? The one by all measures has been inverted for...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | May 27, 2024 | Risk Report
We all know how it started. Last summer Team Regulator slammed Team Bank hard with a proposal that among other stingers would mean an almost 20% increase—AKA $150bn—in the core capital requirement for Club G-SIB. A G-SIB is a Global Systemically Important Bank. The...
by Jonathan Leonardelli, FRM | May 21, 2024 | CECL
Much has changed since CECL became effective—data has grown, technologies have advanced. While those changes themselves may cause a Financial Institution (FI) to reevaluate its CECL system a more important motivator might be experience. For most FIs, the CECL process...
