Zero Elasticity

Zero Elasticity

No, we’re not talking about the waistband on your sweatpants, but rather the tongue-twister of: If the Fed quantitatively tightens, and no bank misses the funds, does that mean the Fed can keep tightening? The short answer is yes, and let’s unpack that just a tad...
Good News, Eh!

Good News, Eh!

It is second nature to me, both as a risk manager and a parent, to focus on the worst-case scenario first. That makes for an, shall we say, interesting size of my amygdala*. What I am dancing around is that there was some good news that almost slipped by unnoticed, so...
Very Not Great

Very Not Great

My heart and thoughts go out to everyone affected by Hurricane Helene. As the human mind works, this hits extra hard because North Carolina is home to FRG and many friends and colleagues. We are only just beginning to see the extent of the damage, not in the least...
Same Time, Elsewhere

Same Time, Elsewhere

As we have mentioned before, the global economy is comprised by more countries than the United States of America and while those other countries are keeping a close eye on what’s going on stateside—either for direction or counterpoint—they are also having their own...
How to Dismantle Two Economic Bombs

How to Dismantle Two Economic Bombs

The Fed cut its target rates this week. It was long-awaited and bigger than expected, both literally and symbolically. In number terms, the rates were lowered half a percentage point. In meaning terms, the rate cut was a turning point into the rarely visited Soft...