Squirrel!

Squirrel!

For those still holding their breath: yes, the headline inflation rate did come down, and yes, we are back on ramp to interest rate cuts soon, and yes, soon is firming up to mean September. And soon needs to be soon because there are debt burdens starting to throw...
Stick the Soft Landing

Stick the Soft Landing

We were so close! The economic floor routine to stick a soft landing—taming inflation with high rates without causing a recession—seemed on track and within reach and expectations were running high and then a few things happened in rapid succession: BoJ hiked their...
This Is An Inter-yen-tion

This Is An Inter-yen-tion

Many of us know the chain of events set in motion, when you tell a toddler in very specific terms what they should NOT do. Sometimes financial markets act in the same way. In this year’s yen episodes, the grown-up is the Japanese top foreign-exchange official, Masato...
Conscious Uncoupling

Conscious Uncoupling

Yes, I am that old.* Sometimes, when a group of big economies have been through some tough times together, but then find they are recovering at different speeds, they might have to start lowering their interest rates before the biggest one is ready. That doesn’t mean...
The Broccoli Is Starting to Bite

The Broccoli Is Starting to Bite

It’s unfair to always pick on broccoli because it is healthy and (with copious amounts of cheese) also delicious, but for the sake of the example, please let it slide this time. Say that we have all been promised dessert (interest rate cuts) if we finish that pesky...