by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Feb 10, 2025 | Risk Report
It is common practice in both middle school and stress testing for the teacher/regulator to require you to show all the intermediate steps you went through to get to the final result. On the student and bank side, this scrutiny is often construed as unnecessary,...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Feb 3, 2025 | Risk Report
Agreement has been in short supply lately, except when it comes to inflation being a pain that everyone wants to stop or at least get into a reasonable range of, say, 2%. As can be seen on the graph below, the Fed has been working its delicate tool of the interest...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Dec 23, 2024 | Risk Report
The first thing they teach you at economist school is that you can either predict where an indicator is going, or you can predict when it will change, but you cannot do both and still be right. As we are deep into the season of predictions there are plenty of examples...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Dec 9, 2024 | Risk Report
37,000 banks, 5,000 bank failures, 158 years. That’s the stuff of dreams, if you are a researcher at the New York Federal Reserve. Liberty Street, the NY Fed blog, has just published a series of excellent posts about what this treasure trove of data can tell us about...
by Regitze Ladekarl, FRM | Nov 18, 2024 | Risk Report
Turbulent times can leave anyone feeling a little raw, and banks are no exception. Last year’s runs raised the flags on the resilience of the banking system and luckily the smart people at the Fed of New York know how to measure bank vulnerability and have just...