Zero Elasticity

Zero Elasticity

No, we’re not talking about the waistband on your sweatpants, but rather the tongue-twister of: If the Fed quantitatively tightens, and no bank misses the funds, does that mean the Fed can keep tightening? The short answer is yes, and let’s unpack that just a tad...
Back to Black

Back to Black

We most often think about inflation and its first cousin, interest rate, as a pair of high-pitched teenagers on eternal spring break who could really use a hug and a good night’s sleep to calm a bit down. No? That’s just me? But in some other places in the world, the...

O as in Out-Of-Office

Yeah, well, there was a fear it might come, there were hints it might come, there were expert predictions it might come, there were small kids yelling: “It’s coming, it’s coming,” and this week it came: the office loan losses. It wasn’t a lot, but enough to evoke that...
What Goes Up, Must … What?

What Goes Up, Must … What?

Everyone knows that January is the time for sales. The market for government debt is no different. Come the new year, and countries around the world are looking to fund their budgets, which usually means that you can snag a good deal on treasury bonds. And in 2024 the...