The Yellow Speech  or the Green Speech?

The Yellow Speech or the Green Speech?

In the seminal Danish movie The Celebration (1998), a family and guests are gathered for the 60th birthday of the patriarch, Helge. Christian, the oldest son, gives Helge the choice between the yellow and the green speech. Helge chooses the green one, which turns out...
Regretful Readiness

Regretful Readiness

The Canadian Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) just released its Annual Risk Outlook. The outlook lists the top risks faced by the Canadian financial system and the actions OSFI is taking in response. Words like geopolitical turbulence and...
Where or When

Where or When

The first thing they teach you at economist school is that you can either predict where an indicator is going, or you can predict when it will change, but you cannot do both and still be right. As we are deep into the season of predictions there are plenty of examples...
We Should Have Seen This Coming?

We Should Have Seen This Coming?

37,000 banks, 5,000 bank failures, 158 years. That’s the stuff of dreams, if you are a researcher at the New York Federal Reserve. Liberty Street, the NY Fed blog, has just published a series of excellent posts about what this treasure trove of data can tell us about...