Managing Model Risk

The Federal Reserve and the OCC define model risk as “the potential for adverse consequences from decisions based on incorrect or misused model outputs and reports.”[1]  Statistical models are the core of stress testing and credit analysis, but banks are increasingly...

The Heroes of the Risk Quantification Process

What makes for a successful risk quantification process?  Prior to joining the firm I thought it was all about analytics (my own specialty).   I’ve come to realize that a happy marriage between data, analytics, and reporting needs to take place.  Each component brings...

Time Series Data Curve Balls

Albert Pujols, one of the best baseball players in the game today, did not start the 2011 baseball season well.  Prior to 2011 he had a lifetime batting average (BA) of .331 – that’s almost one hit for every at bat!  However, much to the dismay of Cardinals fans (of...