We Should Have Seen This Coming?

We Should Have Seen This Coming?

by | Dec 9, 2024 | Risk Report

37,000 banks, 5,000 bank failures, 158 years. That’s the stuff of dreams, if you are a researcher at the New York Federal Reserve. Liberty Street, the NY Fed blog, has just published a series of excellent posts about what this treasure trove of data can tell us about...
Agree Now, Pay Later

Agree Now, Pay Later

by | Nov 25, 2024 | Risk Report

The rule of the conferences of the parties to the Paris Agreement (COPs) is that nobody leaves until an agreement is reached, which of course ensures an outcome, but not necessarily an outcome anybody wants. The deal that was reached in Baku, Azerbaijan is that by...
Zero Elasticity

Zero Elasticity

by | Oct 21, 2024 | Risk Report

No, we’re not talking about the waistband on your sweatpants, but rather the tongue-twister of: If the Fed quantitatively tightens, and no bank misses the funds, does that mean the Fed can keep tightening? The short answer is yes, and let’s unpack that just a tad...
Back to Black

Back to Black

by | Apr 1, 2024 | Risk Report

We most often think about inflation and its first cousin, interest rate, as a pair of high-pitched teenagers on eternal spring break who could really use a hug and a good night’s sleep to calm a bit down. No? That’s just me? But in some other places in the world, the...